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The aim of this study consists in analyzing the importance of the exchange rate forecast using the Box-Jenkins models, also known as Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. The first part of the paper presents the main research in this field, which can be classified in two categories (studies applying classical methods, such as Box-Jenkins models and studies which rely on sophisticated prediction tools), and summarizes the main findings of some of the studies applying Box-Jenkins models. In the s...

The article considers questions of applying the dynamic macroeconomic model of economic growth R. Solow for modeling and forecasting the dynamics of gross regional product on the example of the Volga federal district regions. The models were built at current and comparable prices, taking into account (and without taking into account) funds input delay. Multiplicative production functions were considered as a production function taking into account (and without taking into account) scientific and technical progress...

The relevance of the study isconfirmed by the fact that over the past few decades worldwide degree of export sociability and correlation of national economies, increased dramatically values and intensity of international trade and international capital movement, accelerated the forming of global finance markets. These factorsare exhibit comprehensive, disposition of development of the modern world –globalization. The aim of this study is forecasting of development major macroeconomic indicators: export and impor...

The relevance of the study is confirmed by the fact that in the context of interchangeability seasons, activities of economic bases come with changes intension dynamics social-economic processes. So as to could be purposefully inform to seasonality, necessarily rate and analyze their. The aim of this study is developing forecast of external turnover country controlling for seasonal component. To achieve this goal the following problems were solved: analyze quarter data about dynamics of external turnover; assess t...

Today the requirements of Federal State Educational Standard of Higher Education demands educational process modernization. The question of content projecting based on activity approach attracts attention of both national scientists (L.N. Ananyev, L.S. Vigotsky, V.V. Davydov, V.S. Lazarev, L.N. Nosova, D.B. Elkonin) and foreign ones too (Ph. Barker, Jac. Neale, A.R. Putnam, L. Shulman). The present study overviews these basic ideas suggested by scholars on the subject of the approach implementation into educationa...

The aim of the research is to investigate various types of foreign language inclusions in Spanish scientific texts and to make an attempt to identify and categorize them. Foreign language text links are the relations between this particular text and a text corpus in other natural language, between different semiotic systems. Nowadays the world is in the process of constant development: year by year new discoveries are made in all the fields of science. There are also changes in almost every language of the world. ...

Strategic communication and foreign policy are fields interlacing with high intense in latest years. Reasons behind this phenomenon are technological possibilities to spread the message, and, nevertheless, foreign policy visibility via open and active international society. The same time actors and agents playing in the foreign policy field have various interests. Such effects as informational noise, disinformation, propaganda, and provocation (under circumstances of hybrid-warfare) largely puzzles global informat...

The article is devoted to the issue of the change of China's foreign trade policy and its position in the world economy. The global economic crisis highlighted the new trends in the global economic development, bringing the economies of the newly industrialized countries to the leading positions and thus heralding changes in the international political arena. The United States, Western European countries and Japan, which after the end of the Cold War were the most economically advanced countries in the world, face...

The aim of this article is an analysis of relations within urban and architectural composition and the meanings that are conveyed by selected elements of these spatial layouts on the example of completed university libraries in Charlottesville and Vienna, as well as the municipal library in Stockholm. Using the three previously mentioned buildings as a reference, the author performed an analysis of two and three-dimensional urban composition, an analysis of the architectural form of each building, as well as of th...

The article considers the history of the development of the leading university of the Ural region in the context of modernization of the country's higher education. One of the most important tasks facing the Russian state was the development of higher education and, above all, engineering. The authors, using the example of the largest regional university in Russia, traced the main stages of its creation, development and modernization in accordance with socio-economic realities in the twentieth and early twenty-fir...

In the Roman Empire, roads were built for trade communications: one of the branches, which took over the Alps, was called Via Sucinaria Romana and it reached the south-east coast of the Baltic Sea, where the BaltsВ’ tribes lived. In the 13th century, German knights subjugated the areas populated by the BaltsВ’ and founded regular planned cities, borrowing urban planning skills from Romans. On March 5, 1562, during the Livonian War the Duchy of Courland and Semigallia (Latin: Ducatus Curlandiae et Semigallia; 1562в...

Introduction: Social demands aim at the improvement of the modern engineering and technical education in the conditions of the information educational environment of a technical university. The priority purposes of the teaching in the system of Higher education are the personal and professional growth of students: the formation of such qualities of a personality as the ability to take the responsibility, creativity, reflexivity, the ability to work in a team and readiness for further self-development. For this rea...

The formation of independent Kazakhstan after the collapse of the USSR (1991) led to a change in the language situation, the formation of language policy and language construction. The most urgent topics in society were the questions of the revival of the vitality of the state - Kazakh language, the narrowing of the spheres of functioning of the Russian language, the transition from Cyrillic to Latin. A large number of scientific articles analyzing the language situation of Soviet Kazakhstan and post-Soviet Kazakh...

The formation of independent Kazakhstan after the collapse of the USSR (1991) led to a change in the language situation, the formation of language policy, and language construction. The most urgent topics in society were the questions of the revival of the vitality of the state language – the Kazakh language; the narrowing of the spheres of functioning of the Russian language; and the transition from Cyrillic to Latin. There was a large number of scientific articles analyzing the language situation of Soviet Kaz...

The article presents the elements of the management concept for the development of subsidiary industrial subdivisions of agrarian enterprises. The development of ancillary units (subdivisions) is supposed to be carried out through the organization of cooperatives with their participation, with the participation of other legal entities, peasant (farmer) households, representatives of private subsidiary farms possessed by the population. Subsidiary units of agrarian enterprises are given the main role. The proposed ...

Military psychologists play an important role in a modern army, particularly under conditions of war. During hostilities, a military psychologist extensively uses the group form of work. If this is the case, he applies a number of professional skills that are pedagogical or related to them. This makes it expedient to use immersion of military psychologists into pedagogical situations during their training. The paper describes the advisability of exploiting such a pedagogical situation as giving mini-lectures. The ...

One of the trends in the development of the meat industry is the introduction into the production process of modern environmentally friendly energy-saving methods for processing raw materials and semi-finished products. At the present time, attention is paid to non-traditional physical principles of processing food raw materials - electrical, magnetic, electromagnetic fields, also and electrocontact and acoustic methods. These methods have such advantages as non-inertial operation of the equipment, reduction the d...

In the todayВ’s spatial structure of the centre of Cracow there are many places associated with the former functions of industry or craftsmanship. Due to rapid development of the city in the 20th century industrial plants, which in the 19th century were located in the suburbs, are now in its central part. The goal of the study is to determine in what way old and unused industrial areas can create contemporary urban spaces. What is their potential to build an attractive public space? What is the attitude of the mun...

In countries with developed market economies, forms of financial support for small and medium-sized businesses have been developing for decades and represent a large set of programs that include activities to assist small and medium-sized businesses throughout their life. Currently, there is a need for in-depth study of the financial support system for small and medium-sized businesses, methods of supporting small and medium-sized businesses, and evaluating the effectiveness of financial events held by the state. ...

Participation in culture is an important element in the proper development of children. Thanks to the encounter with culture, they develop internally, become more open to the world and other people. This is extremely necessary in the modern world, because it is very diverse. There are many institutions that popularize culture These include cultural centers, also called centers. They conduct cultural and educational activities, often connected with sports or recreation centers. The cultural institution is a library...

The paper is devoted to the issues of forms of participation of commune residents in making decisions on matters concerning their local self-government community. The analysis included legal solutions guaranteeing members of self-government communities participation in the process of establishing local law and its application. The regulations in force determine the forms of participation of commune residents in making decisions. The characteristics of these forms were preceded by their classification allowing for ...

More than 300 fortified churches have been built, since the 12th century, by the Saxons established within the perimeter of the Seven Cities (Bra?ov, Sibiu, Sebe?, Cluj, Bistri?a, Media? and Sighi?oara) of the Siebenburgen. Erected mainly to defend their small rural communities in front of the various threats of those times, the walls of the fortified churches are still standing to remember a history that, fortunately, has proven to be slightly milder than expected by their builders and represent nowadays an enorm...

Corporate Social Responsibility is a management concept whereby companies integrate social and environmental concerns in their business operations and interactions with their stakeholders. CSR is built on four pillars (dimensions) – economic, social, environmental and philanthropic. The main objective of the contribution is to find out more detailed information on CSR on transport enterprises through research. The work focuses on enterprises in the Transport and Storage sector, where primary research is carried ...

This study aims to present the sensitivity of the Bologna curator, Francesca Alinovi, who showed great interest in the emergent artistic expressions of her times, amongst which Writing. Francesca AlinoviВ’s sensitivity towards Writing emerged during her visit to New York City in 1980, a trip on which she saw Graffiti works and gain first-hand experience of their historical and social context. The sense of unease and contestation of mainstream culture which Alinovi found in New York led her to draw parallels, withi...

The purpose of this paper is to provide an insight into and give an overview of the concept of В‘freelancerВ’ and other closely related concepts; they sometimes appear interchangeably with it (e.g. independent professional) but might have a different meaning for an organization or can be different in legal terms. The concept has been studied from both the linguistic and organizational point of view, with the focus placed on its comparable usage in the Croatian and English. By analyzing available scientific literat...

Topicality. The emancipated modern communication presumes the new language of everyday life that supports the tolerance and the open mind and pluralisms of all groups of society. The understanding of this new language, its philosophical basics and its actual application remains insufficiently studied. This report attempts to apply postmodern philosophy of language to the analysis of contemporary feminisms and gender studies of communication. Aim: to reconstruct the logic and basic philosophical concepts of contemp...

Sociology as a scientific discipline includes the sociology of war. In recent years, wars have not become a thing of the past, but, on the contrary, military conflicts are taking place even more often, affecting the everyday life of modern society on the global and local levels. This article focuses on the issue of war as a social process by examining the works of Nikolai Golovin and Pitirim Sorokin and other scholars who have contributed to the development of the sociology of war. They set key trends in establish...

This text is a trial to embrace the problem of the passive construction in East Europe, including Poland, in terms of economic and legal conditions and the experience gained through centuries of traditional construction. The researches, focused on the analysis of source literature, compared and grabbed analogies between modern solutions of energy-saving construction and traditional solutions of vernacular architecture in Podlasie region. The emphasis was put on those features of passive house, which allow to lower...

Article 12 of the UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities as one of the core articles of this first comprehensive human rights instrument of the 21st century sets equality before the law as a basic general principle of human rights protection affirming that all persons with disabilities have full legal capacity in all aspects of life on an equal basis with others. Implementation of this regulation in national legal capacity laws represents a challengeable task for state parties. Namely, the Commit...

This paper aims to rebuild with an historical approach Italian management of migration flows during last Government Berlusconi (2008-2011). The research focuses specifically on political strategies carried out by Italian right-wing Government of that time, to highlight reasons and effects of their evolution in national and international framework. The starting hypothesis is that migration issue became the main resource to gain electoral consensus in political competition and, in the meantime, an instrument to unba...

Risk behaviours in youth are often the result of personal identity issues and internal conflicts, connected with the need for new and more complex excitement, and a new image about themselves. Such behaviours often precede delinquent behaviour or occur with delinquent behaviour. It also could be related to impulsive decision-making, negligent behaviour, conflict with peers or authority, and having a significant negative impact on the wider society. The aim of this paper is to gain insight the experiences of young ...

The study "From words to images or from images to words?" is an application of Media and Communication field, Literature and Film Studies in particular. It analyses the short story "Tinere?e f?r? de tinere?e" ("Youth Without Youth"), by Mircea Eliade, in the film adaptation of Francis Ford Coppola. Mircea Eliade is better known internationally as a historian of religions, more than as a writer of fantastic literature. In an era which prefers image to the written text, the transfer of it in images implies a high di...

Newly-built residential districts are equipped with modern comforts and facilities for inhabitants-to-be in these days. These quarters combined comfortable flats in buildings of interesting and modern architectural design, built from energy-saving building materials. Blocks of flats are situated amid beautiful, green spots and they possess their own play grounds. The problem of already existing residential areas lies somewhere else. They are often multi-flat building built in the second half of the 20th century. T...

Any social or business sphere implies interaction and relationship between people at different levels. The simplest way of setting proper relations is language. A skilled specialist should be able to use a foreign language as a tool of communication, on the one hand, and as an instrument of influencing the cognition of the partner for creation an adequate and necessary effect in the communication process, on the other. Hence a real professional should understand what kind of relationship with an interlocutor s/he ...

The purpose of the article is to determine the linguistic status of advertising based on the functional (pragmasemantic) properties of Russian advertisements. This issue is topical today, when advertising is acknowledged as a crucially important part of successful business, and has to be adequately handled in teaching future business people. The problematic side of it is that advertising contaminates features of different styles and genres, and forming studentsВ’ skills of composing efficient ads requires some exp...

Ancient Russian fine art is one of the main values of Russian culture, which has long and firmly occupied a worthy place among the world's spiritual universals. The search for ways to recreate the integral type of artistic consciousness – a national and historical one, actualised by modern science - significantly increases interest in various manifestations of this powerful layer of the world cultural heritage, suggesting not only its study and mastering art techniques of old masters, but also preservation for f...

One of the main tasks of the state is to finance and support sectors of the economy that are important for social development. This task is realized within the framework of state industrial policy. At present, a significant shortcoming of the industrial policy is the lack of a transparent justification for the selection of state support and financing facilities. There is no methodology for establishing functional links between the three basic elements of industrial policy: support objectives, objects (industries) ...

The folk ceremonial culture was directly connected with three main events of human life: birth, wedding, and path to the next world. The most ancient and the best-preserved in worldВ’s history is the funeral rite, which is one of the most ethnic signs of culture. In comparison with other rites, it is one of the most conservative, because embodies a slowly changing vision of the death, the spirit world, and the relationship between dead and alive. However funeral rite vulnerable to transformation, which attests to ...

Judicial inquiry process, an important place belongs to a predictive function, socio-legal processes and phenomena development trends to predict. Criminology as legal science subsector is particularly characterized prognostic methods of providing the overall crime situation, a separate offense and shape changes. Law enforcement authorities should be prepared to respond to the criminogenic situation and the process of change. We would like to believe not to experience the to-morrowВ’s criminal grimaces, and more th...

The paper focuses on the empirical study of the attitude to the nature in a sample of student teachers. The study was conducted by Thompson and Barton’s [8] questionnaire aimed to assess the ecocentric approach in this group. The second tool used was a questionnaire of won provenience of the study author called Animal Respect Questionnaire (AniRe). The AniRe questionnaire is a unidimensional tool designed to assess the responders’ respect for animals. The research has shown a significant difference between ecoc...

In the modern scientific research, there are developments dealing with the problems of professional communication of the future professionals in the areas of teaching, law, economics, etc. However, not enough attention is paid to the problems related to professional communication of the social work specialists. In this respect, improvement of the training process suggests inclusion of the game as a training tool modelling in a suitable way the future professional environment. As the game unfolds, improved are the ...

Institute for corporative productivity (American Society for Training and Development) defines the talent management as an organizational approach to leading people by building culture, engagement, capability and capacity through integrated talent acquisition, development, and deployment processes that are aligned to business goals. CEB High-Potential Solution (Gartner) states that high potential employees are 91% more valuable to a business than other staff. As time progressed, searching for new tools, more relia...

The urgency of the investigated problem is due to the constantly increasing role of game in study of different disciplines, including foreign language. Despite of the obvious attractiveness of gaming techniques, they are not used enough in foreign language lessons as the full-fledged teaching aids. This article is devoted to the analysis of innovative and active training method – gaming activity in English language teaching for special purposes in higher educational establishments. The article is aimed at a crit...

Topicality. The visualization of scientific inquiry became already a specific but recognized and independent from the scientific rules - art. For medicine the visualization is still a technical tool to adjust the professional routine procedure, especially for surgery. Could we find the sense of the beauty in the case of bloody surgery invasion? If not, what is the purpose to make a video registration of the surgery invasion and to organize a competition between films in the frame of Surgery Conferences? The aim is...

The aim of this article is to present descriptive geometry, which quickly reached the Polish lands. First lecture was held at the Warsaw School of Artillery and Engineering in 1809-1812, by a French teacher Jan Joachim Livet (1809-12). The new discipline was quickly adopted in all major centers of Polish science at that time, which include university cities - Warsaw, Krakow, Vilnius and the Krzemieniec Lyceum, which represent high level of teaching. In each of the existing universities, efforts were made to create...

Poland is at the beginning of the revitalization process, which started in 2015, when the legal framework had been provided. The revitalization process, understood as an innovative change that is based on four equally important aspects – the social, the economic, the infrastructural and the ecological ones, has been facing an important barrier in Poland. After over two decades of constant modernization, public involvement in planning is still rather symbolic. Having addressed these problems ever since 2010, a te...

The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between aspects of mindfulness, adaptive functioning, emotional problems and somatic complaints in older Latvian adults. The study participants were 287 adults (215 women, 72 men) without serious cognitive or functional impairments, ages 60 to 91 years. They completed the Older Adult Self-Report and Mindful Attention Awareness Scale. The results showed that the women indicated higher depression, anxiety and worry ratings than the men, but the women also rep...

The study aim was to verify empirically the relation between two new intelligence constructs of social-personal approach, i.e. moral intelligence (MI) conceptualized by Lennick and Kiel and their Moral Competence Inventory (MCI, [7]) and trait emotional intelligence (EI) by Petrides and his Trait Emotional Intelligence Questionnaire-Short Form (TEIQue-SF, [13]) on gender perspective. There were no significant inter-gender differences by U-test analysis (no to little effect size difference, ?2?.02) in global level ...

The article is devoted to gender analysis of lexemes meaning В‘a manВ’ on the material of Tatar proverbs. Axiological characteristics of a manВ’s image studied on the basis of physiological (features of appearance, age characteristics), psychological (personality traits, intellectual abilities, relationships between man and woman) and status and role characteristics (behavioral characteristics, family relations, social status, property condition). The study of gender stereotypes from linguocultural point of view r...

“Perceived age” is the result of perception of a person's appearance representing the age of a perception object ascribed by a perception subject. Explosion of interest to the analysis of the factors of a person's perceived age is observed in the modern science, because the perceived age of a person is directly related to the biological age of such a person and is an indicator of mortality risk [1, 2]. Researchers studied genetic, ecological, and medical-and-esthetic factors effecting the perceived age of a pe...