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Year: 2018Subject: forecastingAccess: metadata onlyclear all
Showing 1-6 of 6 records
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5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

MODELING INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF GERMANY

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, Xenia N. Kikkas, E. Krasnozhenova)

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The article describes the Germany’s investment attractiveness mathematical model. The model is based on the institutional and functional approach. The distinctive feature of the institutional-functional approach is the inclusion into the model of the endogenous variables that characterize the institutions performing the function of attracting investors into the country: the technological development institution, the companies’ registration institution, the country economic freedom institution. Functional component...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Economics and Finance2018
5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

FUTURE CRIME - SURVIVAL IN CRIME EXPANSION

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, A. Vilks)

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Judicial inquiry process, an important place belongs to a predictive function, socio-legal processes and phenomena development trends to predict. Criminology as legal science subsector is particularly characterized prognostic methods of providing the overall crime situation, a separate offense and shape changes. Law enforcement authorities should be prepared to respond to the criminogenic situation and the process of change. We would like to believe not to experience the to-morrow’s criminal grimaces, and more the...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Law and Society2018
5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

FORECASTING OF GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT OF THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT REGIONS BY R. SOLOW’S DYNAMIC MACROECONOMIC MODEL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, T. Kokotkina, N. Sadovin, A. Degtyareva)

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The article considers questions of applying the dynamic macroeconomic model of economic growth R. Solow for modeling and forecasting the dynamics of gross regional product on the example of the Volga federal district regions. The models were built at current and comparable prices, taking into account (and without taking into account) funds input delay. Multiplicative production functions were considered as a production function taking into account (and without taking into account) scientific and technical progress...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Business and Management2018
5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

FORECASTING VALUE OF EXTERNAL TRADE OF COUNTRY CONTROLLING FOR SEASONAL VARIATIONS

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, Aleksandra Deviatilova, A. Ershov, V. Tciklauri)

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The relevance of the study is confirmed by the fact that in the context of interchangeability seasons, activities of economic bases come with changes intension dynamics social-economic processes. So as to could be purposefully inform to seasonality, necessarily rate and analyze their. The aim of this study is developing forecast of external turnover country controlling for seasonal component. To achieve this goal the following problems were solved: analyze quarter data about dynamics of external turnover; assess t...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Economics and Finance2018
5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL PROBLEMS OF WORLD ECONOMY

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, N. A. Konakhina, A. A. Bocharov)

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The article describes the methodology for modeling global problems of the world economy. The main methodological provisions: the existence of the history of the problem development, the mutual influence of the problem development process, the influence of factors on problem development. The mathematical model of global problems of the world economy is formed on the basis of the system approach. A particular feature of the system approach is the choice of the system of indicators that assess global problems, the ch...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Economics and Finance2018
5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2018
Publication

COMSOM NEURAL MAPS AS A NEW MACHINE LEARNING TOOL FOR CLUSTERING, FORECASTING AND DATA EVALUATION PROBLEMS

(STEF92 Technology, 2018, Janusz Morajda)

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The paper presents a new, developed by the author, concept of an artificial neural map, named COMSOM and inspired by classic SOM neural networks. The initial part of the article shows a general idea of COMSOM model and its structure, which includes two layers of artificial neurons: input layer (with typical task of distributing input values to data processing neurons) and basic layer containing usually a great number of processing elements, located inside a rectangular part of an XY plane, and able to move freely ...

SOCIAL SCIENCES: Section Business and Management2018
Showing 1-6 of 6 records
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