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MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE ECOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION OF URBANIZED TERRITORY

V. A. Gordon, O. V. Pilipenko, T. V. Poturaeva

First published: 2017https://doi.org/10.5593/sgemsocial2017/41/S18.051View metrics

Abstract

The aim of this work is to build a mathematical model of the dynamics and mutual influence of the population and environmental factors – pollution of the atmosphere and surface water bodies – on an urbanized territory. The paper proposes a simulation model of dynamics and interaction of external and internal directions in biosphere-compatible city activities. The external direction of city’s activities is removal of resources from the Biosphere and emission of waste polluting water, air and soil into it. The internal direction is the impact on the population: environmental state, health assessment, life expectancy, human potential. The method of forecasting the ecological and demographic situation of an urbanized territory is constructed using a relatively simple, non-linear, with variable coefficients, mathematical model that reflects the interaction of several subsystems: population, pollution of the atmosphere and water bodies.

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Title
MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE ECOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION OF URBANIZED TERRITORY
Authors
V. A. Gordon, O. V. Pilipenko, T. V. Poturaeva
Proceedings
4th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM 2017
Publisher
STEF92 Technology
Year
2017
Pages
401-412
SWS Citekey
Gordon201718401412
ISSN
2367-5659
ISBN
978-619-7408-23-2
Language
en
Publication type
Proceedings Paper
Keywords
biosphere-compatible cityair and water pollutionpopulationsimulation modelsystem of differential equationsrate of change of interacting factorsforecasting of the environmental stateforecasting of the environmental state.
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