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LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT IN THE SYSTEM OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND STRATEGIC PLANNING OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Abstract
The article devoted to development and implementation of long-term forecast of the development of public infrastructure in the Russian Federation and its integration into the system of strategic planning. The life cycle of many infrastructure objects (transport, energy, social, etc.) is tens and hundreds of years (railways, sea and river ports, airports, etc.). Various forms and models of public-private partnership are in demand during their creation or modernization in the conditions of objective budget constraints. Business needs state benchmarks for long term planning and development of public infrastructure for harmonization and alignment with the strategies, forecasts, programmes and plans. In achieving the goals of effective infrastructure development, it is impossible to rely only on market regulation tools, they are not optimal in terms of choosing development priorities. As a rule, the business community chooses to participate exclusively in the most cost-effective projects, which does not solve the problems of integrated development of public infrastructure. Strategic planning can and should play a crucial role in overcoming this contradiction. The state, on the one hand, should have a clear idea of the objective state of the development of public infrastructure at the moment and in the long term, and on the other hand, based on this information, to make an informed choice of development priorities.
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