Scholarly record

PROACTIVE BEHAVIOUR IN THE FACE OF UNCERTAINTY: HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM FOR EMPLOYEES OF THE FUTURE

Olga Shipkova, Natalya Korshunova, Nikolay Kulyasov, Olga Shataeva

Abstract

The paper analyzes the challenges of the external environment for economic actors, which are transformed into special requirements of employers for employees. The main purpose of this stage of the study is to identify the components of a comprehensive behavioral model that determines the competitiveness of an economic actor in the new conditions of the modern VUCA-world and are characterized by their proactive position with respect to uncertainty. Moreover, the pool of tools and behavioral patterns are classified taking into account their economic efficiency and expediency in the conditions of various types of uncertainty (from complete certainty to deep uncertainty). The object under consideration is the "enterprise / employer - university - state" system in Russian Federation. The analysis includes the components of the project-based educational environment, connecting the elements of the "enterprise / employer - university - state" system and contributing to the formation of the behavioral characteristics of successful economic actors under conditions of deep uncertainty. An additional effect is the development of appropriate behavioral skills by university graduates who have been trained in such educational environment. The paper focuses on the analysis of the “unknown unknown” area (the concept of deep uncertainty). On a traditional risk-map, this is a proactive position with respect to the upper left quadrant, which can become crucial for the competitiveness of the state and individual economic entity. The goal of a modern economic actor is to ensure competitiveness during the period of technological breakdown, when a transition to a fundamentally new technology occurs. We consider the tools for economic actors to achieve a high degree of “anti-fragility” (in the terminology of N. Taleb). In the paper instruments supporting the decision-making process and shaping behavior in conditions of deep uncertainty are adapted for the object of study. Interaction design within the educational environment is based on a taxonomy of approaches and tools for decision-making under deep uncertainty (by J. H. Kwakkel and M. Haasnoot).

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